• Trump policies are inflationary
  • Market has not accounted for this
  • Some Trump policies could weaken the USD
  • US equities are overvalued, in a weekened USD foreign equities could do better
  • If Europe is going to fund defence spending and rebuilding Ukraine, their interest rates need to go higher to fund it
  • Still bullish gold long term, but short term would look for pull back to buy more

surfmacro